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Semantic Securities
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trend · futures · commodities · fx · ratesT2 · Verified from Nov. 4, 2024

Meridian Trend Systematic

Medium-horizon trend following across 40 liquid futures markets, sized by regime-conditional volatility.

By Priya Raghunathan, Ph.D.Systematic macro researcher · Chicago · Record from February 1, 2021 · Verified from November 4, 2024
Total · Backtest
+85% to +90%
Annualized
· · ·
Sharpe
1.0–1.5
Sortino
· · ·
Max drawdown
· · ·
Volatility
· · ·
Win rate
· · ·
Profit factor
· · ·
Beta / corr.
· · ·
Avg. holding
· · ·
Benchmark · same window
+90% to +95%
Excess vs. benchmark
· · ·

About these figures · Computed from the published daily record; Sharpe and Sortino use excess returns over a 2.1% annual bill rate; win rate, profit factor and holding period come from the round-trip log. Ratios are suppressed below one month of observations.

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Exact figures, drawdown analytics, the signal log and the mandate replay require an account.

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Methodology disclosure

How this strategy works

Meridian holds diversified long and short positions in liquid futures — equity index, rates, energy, metals, grains and G10 currency contracts — entered when price confirms a persistent trend on 20- to 120-day horizons. Position size is set by a regime-conditional volatility estimate rather than a fixed target, which cuts exposure faster in breaks than it adds in rallies. The reference book targets 8% annualized volatility with gross exposure capped at 250%. Signals are emitted at the North American close. The backtest covers Feb. 2021 onward and includes estimated transaction costs of 1.2 basis points per side; slippage assumptions are documented per market.